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Propagation Forecast Bulletin #17 de K7RA:

from W1AW Bulletin via the ARRL on April 28, 2006
Website: http://www.arrl.org/
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Propagation Forecast Bulletin #17 de K7RA:

ZCZC AP17
QST de W1AW
Propagation Forecast Bulletin 17 ARLP017
>From Tad Cook, K7RA
Seattle, WA April 28, 2006
To all radio amateurs

SB PROP ARL ARLP017
ARLP017 Propagation de K7RA

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet this week in most places, but on April 22 there was a geomagnetic storm at high latitudes caused by solar wind and a south-pointing IMF. The college A index in Fairbanks Alaska reached 38, and the K index was 7 at its highest. The mid-latitude A index for the day was only 10, just slightly unsettled.

On April 27 there was a strong but brief solar flare from sunspot 875, but this is not expected to cause major geomagnetic activity. At the time of the flare, around 1552z, x-rays caused a short radio blackout of nearly a quarter hour.

Sunspot numbers and solar flux have been rising, and solar flux is expected to remain around 100 over the next week. Geomagnetic conditions may become active again around May 2 and May 6, with a big increase in activity around May 10-13 expected because of similar activity during the previous solar rotation.

Steve Lybarger, NU7T of Reno, Nevada wrote asking about sunspot polarity, and where he could get information on the actual polarity of currently visible spots. I told him I didn't know, but did find this interesting page from "Mr. Sunspot's Answer Book" at the National Solar Observatory web site, http://eo.nso.edu/MrSunspot/answerbook/polarity.html.

Ron Wright, ZL1AMO (and others, including AE6RR) wrote in to say that ZK1JD, mentioned in last week's bulletin as worked by VA7GO, is not actually in the South Solomon Islands, an area of great civil unrest currently. Jim Ditchburn, ZK1JD is actually in Rarotonga in the South Cook Islands. Craig Bradley, AE6RR worked ZK1JD a few days ago on 20 meters, and when told about his call appearing in the bulletin, Jim commented that he "would not want to be in the Solomon Islands at this time!"

Greg Andracke, W2BEE of Pine Plains, New York tells about some unexpected propagation from a couple of weeks back. On Saturday, April 15 at 1123z he heard VQ9LA of Chagos calling CQ on 30 meters with no takers. Greg scrambled to tune his 20-meter vertical to 30 meters, and reached VQ9LA, neither station having strong signals. Afterward Greg could hear no other stations called the DX station. Odd propagation for that time, but it would have been normal about 10-14 hours later.

If you would like to make a comment or have a tip for our readers, email the author at, k7ra@arrl.net.

For more information concerning radio propagation and an explanation of the numbers used in this bulletin, see the ARRL Technical Information Service propagation page at, http://www.arrl.org/tis/info/propagation.html. An archive of past propagation bulletins is at http://www.arrl.org/w1aw/prop/.

Sunspot numbers for April 20 through 26 were 30, 14, 15, 24, 38, 33 and 60 with a mean of 30.6. 10.7 cm flux was 78.7, 76.4, 82.4, 86.7, 92.8, 95.1, and 100, with a mean of 87.4. Estimated planetary A indices were 5, 8, 18, 8, 7, 5 and 5 with a mean of 8. Estimated mid-latitude A indices were 3, 6, 10, 8, 4, 1 and 2, with a mean of 4.9.
NNNN
/EX

Source: W1AW Bulletin via the ARRL.

Member Comments:
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Propagation Forecast Bulletin #17 de K7RA:  
by WK5C on February 21, 2009 Mail this to a friend!
I just (22Feb0115 GMT)worked E51JD, Jim, on Cook Islands from Las Cruces, NM. He was very weak on 14.222 but he copied me FB.
73
j
 
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