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Author Topic: Solar Cycle 25?  (Read 4529 times)

K0UA

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Re: Solar Cycle 25?
« Reply #30 on: November 30, 2020, 08:19:02 PM »

Quote
K0UA your sunspot foundation apparently is doing great things. i am sure the checks will start rolling in

Told you I could deliver!   :)
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73  James K0UA

N9FB

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Re: Solar Cycle 25?
« Reply #31 on: December 01, 2020, 03:47:47 PM »

wow, it is early, but my dreams of a cycle 19-like Solar Cycle 25 may just be materializing!
quite the uptick from a few short months ago:


[above image courtesy of: solarham.net]

K0UA your sunspot foundation apparently is doing great things. i am sure the checks will start rolling in ;)

Told you I could deliver!   :)

presuming said delivery was due to the work your foundation -- it is hard to argue with how quickly you got the SFI to >100. 
yet the question now is how do you explain this drop? ->



are you holding the numbers low as a way of garnering more donations, or is this just a "3 steps forward, 1 step back" kind of dance we're undertaking?   :D
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K0UA

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Re: Solar Cycle 25?
« Reply #32 on: December 02, 2020, 08:05:50 AM »

My foundation is responsible ONLY for positive advances. Any fallbacks are the work of other nefarious forces that are contrary to our message of goodness and good propagation. To ensure this forward movement and to combat any setbacks, please, keep your generous donations coming in.  A personal thank you e-mail will accompany each and every donation. If you haven't received your e-mail yet, are you sure to donated to my foundation or was it one of those dark forces?  :)
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73  James K0UA

AA6YQ

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Re: Solar Cycle 25?
« Reply #33 on: December 04, 2020, 06:40:06 PM »

Foundation, schmoundation. What y'all clearly need is my new Sol Control application, on sale between now and Christmas for a measly $19.95:


« Last Edit: December 04, 2020, 06:47:27 PM by AA6YQ »
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N9FB

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Re: Solar Cycle 25?
« Reply #34 on: December 05, 2020, 07:21:25 PM »

Foundation, schmoundation. What y'all clearly need is my new Sol Control application, on sale between now and Christmas for a measly $19.95:



 :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o
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K0UA

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Re: Solar Cycle 25?
« Reply #35 on: December 08, 2020, 07:58:42 AM »

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73  James K0UA

N9FB

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Re: Solar Cycle 25?
« Reply #36 on: December 10, 2020, 03:50:34 PM »

thank you for the uplifting article   8)

Quote
"When we look back over the 270-year long observational record of terminator events, we see that the longer the time between terminators, the weaker the next cycle," said study co-author Bob Leamon, a researcher at the University of Maryland Baltimore County. "And, conversely, the shorter the time between terminators, the stronger the next solar cycle is.

This correlation has been difficult for scientists to see in the past because they have traditionally measured the length of a sunspot cycle from solar minimum to solar minimum, which is defined using an average rather than a precise event. In the new study, the researchers measured from terminator to terminator, which allows for much greater precision.

While terminator events occur approximately every 11 years and mark the beginning and end of the sunspot cycle, the time between terminators can vary by years. For example, Sunspot Cycle 4 began with a terminator in 1786 and ended with a terminator in 1801, an unprecedented 15 years later. The following cycle, 5, was incredibly weak with a peak amplitude of just 82 sunspots. That cycle would become known as the beginning of the "Dalton" Grand Minimum.

Similarly, Sunspot Cycle 23 began in 1998 and did not end until 2011, 13 years later. Sunspot Cycle 24, which is just ending, was quite weak as well, but it was also quite short -- just shy of 10 years long - and that's the basis for the new study's bullish prediction that Sunspot Cycle 25 will be strong.
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AC7CW

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Re: Solar Cycle 25?
« Reply #37 on: December 11, 2020, 04:04:27 PM »

and me without a beam... I bought one during the low propagation period so I could get out then I moved, traveled, got married, relocated, etc... never put it up yet, now I'll need it for the front to back and front to side properties because propagation will be great...

I was licensed during solar cycle 19 folks. It was incredible. If the current one is like that then hamming will be an adventure day in and day out... wow... hams scoff at the idea of a rig high up Sherwood's list being the way to go but when the interference is coming in strong from all over the world they might be rethinking that... I knew a novice licensee that got his DXCC about 1960. He was restricted to 75 watts and no privilege on 20 meters... good times folks, good times!!
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Novice 1958, 20WPM Extra now... (and get off my lawn)

N9FB

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Re: Solar Cycle 25?
« Reply #38 on: December 26, 2020, 05:21:01 AM »

it is nice to see that while the SFI was in the 60's at times as recently as October 2020, it got to 113 in late November and -- after dipping to 78.1 on Dec 20 -- it is now moving upwardly again (88.5 yesterday Dec 25th). 

https://www.spaceweather.gc.ca/solarflux/sx-5-flux-en.php (i wish the data here was also presented in graph form...)

- - - -

to be entered to potentially* win an imaginary can of triple-strength enhanced prop spray -- guess the date when cycle 25's SFI will 1st reach 120

*disclaimer: date of imaginary drawing will be in year (25 * infinity minus one) -- check back then to see if you "won"
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K0UA

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Re: Solar Cycle 25?
« Reply #39 on: December 26, 2020, 06:34:40 AM »

*Disclaimer:  The K0UA foundation is ONLY responsible for rises in the solar flux and the current dips are most certainly caused by external malevolent forces. So all of you that donated to the K0UA foundation, stop asking for your money back!   :)
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73  James K0UA

K3UIM

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Re: Solar Cycle 25?
« Reply #40 on: December 26, 2020, 06:56:39 AM »

*Disclaimer:  The K0UA foundation is ONLY responsible for rises in the solar flux and the current dips are most certainly caused by external malevolent forces. So all of you that donated to the K0UA foundation, stop asking for your money back!   :)
Woo-Haw!!!
Charlie
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Charlie. K3UIM
Where you are: I was!
Where I am: You will be!
So be nice to us old fogies!!

N9FB

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Re: Solar Cycle 25?
« Reply #41 on: January 10, 2021, 01:55:11 AM »

i would love to see a graph done which shows the daily SFI data posted here --
https://www.spaceweather.gc.ca/solarflux/sx-5-en.php --
in pictorial form in order to to compare solar cycle 24 data to present cycle 25's data at this early juncture in the cycle, but alas utilizing software to read data and then graph it is not my forte. ...if anyone out there has that capability, please post a graph here (or share a website that will do it)...
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K0UA

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Re: Solar Cycle 25?
« Reply #42 on: January 10, 2021, 04:35:50 AM »

i would love to see a graph done which shows the daily SFI data posted here --
https://www.spaceweather.gc.ca/solarflux/sx-5-en.php --
in pictorial form in order to to compare solar cycle 24 data to present cycle 25's data at this early juncture in the cycle, but alas utilizing software to read data and then graph it is not my forte. ...if anyone out there has that capability, please post a graph here (or share a website that will do it)...

The very simplest of Excel spreadsheets will create a graph for you from a set of data points.
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73  James K0UA

N9FB

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Re: Solar Cycle 25?
« Reply #43 on: January 10, 2021, 05:22:41 AM »

i would love to see a graph done which shows the daily SFI data posted here --
https://www.spaceweather.gc.ca/solarflux/sx-5-en.php --
in pictorial form in order to to compare solar cycle 24 data to present cycle 25's data at this early juncture in the cycle, but alas utilizing software to read data and then graph it is not my forte. ...if anyone out there has that capability, please post a graph here (or share a website that will do it)...

The very simplest of Excel spreadsheets will create a graph for you from a set of data points.

Thanks, i did not know how to use Excel to create a graph, and when i looked for instructions online after reading your reply, i imported the flux data and tried the "recommended charts" function in excel but i could not get the dates to read in the source format... So after i started to realize it would take some time for me to learn how to get excel to play with data successfully to make the kind of graph(s) i wanted, i went back to the data source page -- where i discovered that if i had simply read the link there that says: "plots" as meaning graphs --  I WOULD HAVE ALREADY FOUND the "graph" i was looking for [d'oh]   :D

note-to-self: when you think of the "graphs" you learned to make by hand decades ago in school, expand the term to include charts and plots

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KBKZ2105

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Re: Solar Cycle 25?
« Reply #44 on: January 10, 2021, 03:39:08 PM »

6 cycles ago means he's 80 years old. 

Listen to me. 

Don't worry about what cycle it is.  Or those graphs. 
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