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Author Topic: ARTICLE: A New method for predicting the 11-year solar cycle strength  (Read 310 times)

WA2ONH

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From the https://phys.org/ site, an Astronomy article entitled ...

A new method for predicting the 11-year solar cycle strength
by Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology - July 1 2022
https://phys.org/news/2022-07-method-year-solar-strength.html

"Scientists from Skoltech and their colleagues from the University of Graz & the Kanzelhöhe Observatory (Austria), Hvar Observatory (Croatia), and the Belgian Solar-Terrestrial Center of Excellence—SILSO, Royal Observatory of Belgium presented a new method to predict the strength of the 11-year solar cycle."
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73 de WA2ONH  <dit dit> ... Charlie
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W1VT

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They are predicting Cycle 25 to be at least as good as the last one.
I was able to work 250 entities on both 10 and 12 meters during Cycle 24.
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K4FMH

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I read the original published article in addition to the news release. The method is linking the growth rate of SSs to a subsequent cycle’s amplitude. This is prediction without explanation, not much of an advance. Scott McIntosh and I discuss the fallacies of this “teleology” in the cover story of this month’s RadCom magazine.

Frank
K4FMH
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KH6AQ

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The July, 2022 RadCom magazine cover is here:  Solar Cycle 25 – A controversial theory regarding sunspot
predictions

On the cusp of a scientific revolution? Frank Howell, K4FMH and Scott McIntosh 36

https://rsgb.org/main/blog/publications/radcom/2022/06/20/radcom-july-2022-vol-98-no-7/
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